Detroit Lions Becoming Popular Super Bowl Bet For 2023

[HacheMan]

Lions Super Bowl Odds Suddenly Popular Among NFL Bettors​

BETMGM
4/15/23

• The Detroit Lions are the No. 1 Super Bowl liability at BetMGM for 2023.
• A staggering plurality of NFC futures tickets are on the Lions.
• The Lions traded Jeff Okudah to Atlanta after a big free agency period.

This early spring period is a bit of a lull in the NFL betting space. The initial rush of NFL free agency has come and gone, and the NFL draft is still weeks away.
We won’t see the NFL schedule release for another month or so.
Still, I’m increasingly keeping an eye on one of the biggest NFL odds stories of the offseason that absolutely no one is talking about.
People love the Detroit Lions’ NFL futures odds market.

Lions Super Bowl Odds: Bettors Love Detroit​

For the last couple of years, NFL odds blurbs about Super Bowl futures have mainly revolved around a handful of teams.
It’s Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Josh Allen and the Bills. After 2022, we’re interested in the short-term arcs of the 49ers and Eagles, too.
But the Lions have been arguably the trendiest pick on the board below that top tier of teams, attracting gobs of action since the new Super Bowl betting odds were released in February. Detroit opened at +2500 and has been bet down to +2000 following the free agency period.
I asked our internal team here at BetMGM to pull some updated numbers for me as part of this little investigation I’m conducting. As of today, April 12, 7.8% of the current Super Bowl market is behind the Lions, accounting for 8.3% of the overall handle.
The handle is higher than the Cowboys, 49ers, Jets, and Broncos, among many others. Unsurprisingly, with odds priced at 20-to-1 or longer, the Lions are BetMGM’s No. 1 liability in the Super Bowl market.


The numbers are exponentially crazier in the NFC market. A shocking 47% of all NFC Championship tickets are on Detroit.
At market open, the Lions were fourth in the table at +1100. They’re still fourth in the table, trailing the Eagles, 49ers, and Cowboys, but the number is down to +850.
And, once again, the Lions are the No. 1 liability in this market.

You might recall that the Lions got some betting hype from last offseason, too. That hype ultimately didn’t pay off, as the Lions had a poor start before ultimately missing the playoffs when the Week 18 results didn’t fall their way.

But just because the hype didn’t pay off doesn’t mean it was unfounded. The Lions had an incredible second half in 2022, and offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is sticking around in Detroit for another year.

If the Lions can play for a whole season like they did during the second half of 2022, they will be a legitimate threat to win the No. 1 seed in the NFC. They play in an easier division than other top competitors and play the same kind of tactically aggressive offense that Philadelphia used to great success last season.

There are a lot of positive signs here. But since the Super Bowl odds didn’t move down from +2500 to +2000 until after the beginning of NFL free agency, it is worth reviewing some of the moves that Detroit has made over the past month to understand what’s driving some of this spring movement.

Lions Free-Agent Signings​

Here are a few of Detroit’s biggest free agent signings from the past few weeks:

• S C.J. Gardner-Johnson
• CB Cameron Sutton
• CB Emmanuel Moseley
• RB David Montgomery
• WR Marvin Jones Jr.

Detroit’s biggest problem in 2022 was that its back end couldn’t stop a nosebleed. PFF graded Detroit dead last in the NFL for coverage in 2022. It was significantly worse than the second-worst team, Miami.

The top of this free-agent class clearly addresses those problems. Gardner-Johnson led the NFL in interceptions last year and is a huge injection of talent. He also brings some flexibility, since he can play either safety or slot corner.

Detroit also re-signed some core pieces from last year’s defense, including defensive tackle Isaiah Buggs and linebacker Alex Anzalone. This is a smart blend of old parts and new pieces that should improve the Detroit defense.

A few smart moves in the NFL Draft wouldn’t hurt, either. Speaking of which…

Lions, Falcons Trade Ahead of Draft​

On Tuesday, we got another juicy trade ahead of the NFL Draft. The Lions are sending CB Jeff Okudah — the third overall pick from 2020 — to Atlanta.

Okudah recorded 73 tackles and one interception in 2022 but has struggled to stay healthy through his first three years in the league. He graded out as PFF’s No. 159 corner in 2022.

Jeff Okudah Trade​

Detroit sent Okudah down to the NFC South in exchange for Atlanta’s fifth-round pick in the upcoming 2023 NFL Draft.

Lions Jeff Okudah Contract

Jeff Okudah is currently entering the fourth year of his rookie contract and will make $5,182,074 in 2023.

Because he was a first-round pick, the Falcons will have a team option to pick up Okudah for a fifth season at $11,514,000.

Detroit is taking a dead cap hit of $5,486,099 for cutting Okudah loose.

Detroit Lions Cornerbacks​

After a big free-agency investment in multiple cornerbacks, it was clear that Okudah had become disposable. From Detroit’s perspective, it makes way more sense to offload the former No. 3 pick with Sutton and Moseley on the roster.

Lions Salary Cap 2023

Detroit still has about $14 million worth of cap space to maneuver with.

Lions’ NFL Draft Needs​

As is the case for nearly every team, Detroit could use some more help along the interior parts of its offensive and defensive lines. A high-end defensive tackle, in particular, would really help solidify the Lions’ newly reconstructed secondary with some early pressure up the middle.

Detroit will also be in search of a new tight end after trading T.J. Hockenson to the Vikings in the middle of last season.

And, of course, it has to be said: Jared Goff has been good, but at some point, the Lions need to draft a quarterback for the future. Is this the class to do that?

Detroit Lions Odds​

The Lions clearly do not have a perfect roster, but what franchise does at this point?

Clearly, NFL odds experts have seen enough with the Detroit roster and coaching staff that they want to attack the Lions’ market in a big way.

With the NFC North as weak as it’s ever been in recent memory, and an unstoppable offense that’s deploying statistical analysis and modern football theory as good as anyone. Can you blame them?

 

[Greenbacks]

I saw this
Also the Jets are high on the list

 

[MagiCap]

They looked like they are on the rise.

 

[HacheMan]

They should have been in the playoffs last year

 

[Greenbacks]

Small favorites to win the NFC north +150

 

[Serbone]

Lions management is making great moves bringing in the right good players and the coach has them fired up and looking good on the field.

Previously, many here blamed Goff, he is a popular whipping boy, but with some decent surroundings he has played well.

They have signed some good defensive help this off season and will also draft some top notch D early in the draft with two picks in the 1st round.

I think they are a solid choice to win the division.

 

[cigar]

Goff has always been solid in my opinion. They also were writing Buffao's ticket without a running game. I'm not buying it. Regression from last season in my opinion. Coach is a rah rah type and that only gets ya so far when you're taken seriously.

 

[VIEJODINOSAUR]

They should have been in the playoffs last year

Not really…not good enough

 

[Mr_Mark]

Team is cursed

 

[chrishansen]

Lions have been a tuff out past two years. Honestly can’t recall a team play harder than them in recent years. Considering the record they had. Guys play hard for the Campbell coach. Looks like they have a good locker room atmosphere also

Great draft capital to round out holes. Good division for 6 games.

Just don’t think the NFL wants Detroit in the SB lol.

Seahawks and Lions are two teams with ton of draft capital to fill out good teams.

NFC value wise Lions make sense.

Most would laugh but for odds over 50-1
Sea Chicken
Redskins
Falcons
Bucs

Falcons are feisty team like Lions. Redskins and Howell May shock many. Bucs Still heave a good team. Few decent draft pieces and never know. Definitely a path. Playoffs are a wild ride and the NFC is soft unlike the AFC. Getting there is a easy hedge. Don’t have to win it

 

[doctorsuccess]

Lions Super Bowl Odds Suddenly Popular Among NFL Bettors​

BETMGM
4/15/23

• The Detroit Lions are the No. 1 Super Bowl liability at BetMGM for 2023.
• A staggering plurality of NFC futures tickets are on the Lions.
• The Lions traded Jeff Okudah to Atlanta after a big free agency period.

This early spring period is a bit of a lull in the NFL betting space. The initial rush of NFL free agency has come and gone, and the NFL draft is still weeks away.
We won’t see the NFL schedule release for another month or so.
Still, I’m increasingly keeping an eye on one of the biggest NFL odds stories of the offseason that absolutely no one is talking about.
People love the Detroit Lions’ NFL futures odds market.

Lions Super Bowl Odds: Bettors Love Detroit​

For the last couple of years, NFL odds blurbs about Super Bowl futures have mainly revolved around a handful of teams.
It’s Joe Burrow and the Bengals. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. Josh Allen and the Bills. After 2022, we’re interested in the short-term arcs of the 49ers and Eagles, too.
But the Lions have been arguably the trendiest pick on the board below that top tier of teams, attracting gobs of action since the new Super Bowl betting odds were released in February. Detroit opened at +2500 and has been bet down to +2000 following the free agency period.
I asked our internal team here at BetMGM to pull some updated numbers for me as part of this little investigation I’m conducting. As of today, April 12, 7.8% of the current Super Bowl market is behind the Lions, accounting for 8.3% of the overall handle.
The handle is higher than the Cowboys, 49ers, Jets, and Broncos, among many others. Unsurprisingly, with odds priced at 20-to-1 or longer, the Lions are BetMGM’s No. 1 liability in the Super Bowl market.


The numbers are exponentially crazier in the NFC market. A shocking 47% of all NFC Championship tickets are on Detroit.
At market open, the Lions were fourth in the table at +1100. They’re still fourth in the table, trailing the Eagles, 49ers, and Cowboys, but the number is down to +850.
And, once again, the Lions are the No. 1 liability in this market.

You might recall that the Lions got some betting hype from last offseason, too. That hype ultimately didn’t pay off, as the Lions had a poor start before ultimately missing the playoffs when the Week 18 results didn’t fall their way.

But just because the hype didn’t pay off doesn’t mean it was unfounded. The Lions had an incredible second half in 2022, and offensive coordinator Ben Johnson is sticking around in Detroit for another year.

If the Lions can play for a whole season like they did during the second half of 2022, they will be a legitimate threat to win the No. 1 seed in the NFC. They play in an easier division than other top competitors and play the same kind of tactically aggressive offense that Philadelphia used to great success last season.

There are a lot of positive signs here. But since the Super Bowl odds didn’t move down from +2500 to +2000 until after the beginning of NFL free agency, it is worth reviewing some of the moves that Detroit has made over the past month to understand what’s driving some of this spring movement.

Lions Free-Agent Signings​

Here are a few of Detroit’s biggest free agent signings from the past few weeks:

• S C.J. Gardner-Johnson
• CB Cameron Sutton
• CB Emmanuel Moseley
• RB David Montgomery
• WR Marvin Jones Jr.

Detroit’s biggest problem in 2022 was that its back end couldn’t stop a nosebleed. PFF graded Detroit dead last in the NFL for coverage in 2022. It was significantly worse than the second-worst team, Miami.

The top of this free-agent class clearly addresses those problems. Gardner-Johnson led the NFL in interceptions last year and is a huge injection of talent. He also brings some flexibility, since he can play either safety or slot corner.

Detroit also re-signed some core pieces from last year’s defense, including defensive tackle Isaiah Buggs and linebacker Alex Anzalone. This is a smart blend of old parts and new pieces that should improve the Detroit defense.

A few smart moves in the NFL Draft wouldn’t hurt, either. Speaking of which…

Lions, Falcons Trade Ahead of Draft​

On Tuesday, we got another juicy trade ahead of the NFL Draft. The Lions are sending CB Jeff Okudah — the third overall pick from 2020 — to Atlanta.

Okudah recorded 73 tackles and one interception in 2022 but has struggled to stay healthy through his first three years in the league. He graded out as PFF’s No. 159 corner in 2022.

Jeff Okudah Trade​

Detroit sent Okudah down to the NFC South in exchange for Atlanta’s fifth-round pick in the upcoming 2023 NFL Draft.

Lions Jeff Okudah Contract

Jeff Okudah is currently entering the fourth year of his rookie contract and will make $5,182,074 in 2023.

Because he was a first-round pick, the Falcons will have a team option to pick up Okudah for a fifth season at $11,514,000.

Detroit is taking a dead cap hit of $5,486,099 for cutting Okudah loose.

Detroit Lions Cornerbacks​

After a big free-agency investment in multiple cornerbacks, it was clear that Okudah had become disposable. From Detroit’s perspective, it makes way more sense to offload the former No. 3 pick with Sutton and Moseley on the roster.

Lions Salary Cap 2023

Detroit still has about $14 million worth of cap space to maneuver with.

Lions’ NFL Draft Needs​

As is the case for nearly every team, Detroit could use some more help along the interior parts of its offensive and defensive lines. A high-end defensive tackle, in particular, would really help solidify the Lions’ newly reconstructed secondary with some early pressure up the middle.

Detroit will also be in search of a new tight end after trading T.J. Hockenson to the Vikings in the middle of last season.

And, of course, it has to be said: Jared Goff has been good, but at some point, the Lions need to draft a quarterback for the future. Is this the class to do that?

Detroit Lions Odds​

The Lions clearly do not have a perfect roster, but what franchise does at this point?

Clearly, NFL odds experts have seen enough with the Detroit roster and coaching staff that they want to attack the Lions’ market in a big way.

With the NFC North as weak as it’s ever been in recent memory, and an unstoppable offense that’s deploying statistical analysis and modern football theory as good as anyone. Can you blame them?

Last year the Raiders were the most heavily bet team in futures.

 

[HacheMan]

Last year the Raiders were the most heavily bet team in futures.

I didn't know that, good info

 

[secondcity]

add WR to their draft needs

 

[PatsFan1283]

Goff is easily the most underated qb in the league and is still very young.

They should land a solid quarter... Of course they also took Jeff Okundah at 3 overall and he was an absolute bust. Pretty bad when you are 3rd overall pick with a small cap hit and they want you gone even with that.

Don't know why teams don't start having a draft strategy of getting 2 shut down corners. You could do so much with that defense. Literally bring 5-6 every down. If you have 2 great corners and everyone else is average, you are a top 5 defense. Qb's would have to get the ball out fast. Plenty in the box so hard to run.

For instance, the Jets should try to do this. Teams get pressure rushing 4; imagine rushing 5 and even occasionally 7.

Kind of like my hail mary strategy. Why don't teams blitz and not give the receivers time to run 50 yards. Nowe they give the qb a clean pocket and time to wound up making it still a decent chance. When you could just bring 1 more than they can block and they have to throw a quick pass. Like my chances better with my idea vs what they do now.

There’s like 6 “shutdown corners” in the world, max

 

[cigar]

If they'd of went Carter and Campbell I'd of opened my eyes. They just lost with adding a rb number 1. A toy to tinker while you're already stacked at the position. That shit never works.

 

[HacheMan]

Yeah it made no sense them drafting a running back

 

[BigLouReturns]

Remember when the Cleveland Browns we're the popular Super Bowl pick back in 2019?

 

[Serbone]

Lions blew it, needed 2 top defensive players, did not get em

Shoulda gone with CBs Gonzalez or Forbes, plus DL Van Ness or Kancy

 

[MAGAking1]

These fkers cant stand success......La Porta?
cmon man.

 

[BigLouReturns]

Lions blew it, needed 2 top defensive players, did not get em

Shoulda gone with CBs Gonzalez or Forbes, plus DL Van Ness or Kancy

I didn't realize you we're a GM.